Research Projects
My current research focuses on causal machine learning for data-driven decision support. In particular, I study how observational data can be used not only to predict outcomes, but also to estimate causal effects and learn effective decision policies. For a complete and up-to-date publication list, see my Google Scholar.
Causal Machine Learning for Data-Driven Decision Support
This research direction focuses on using causal machine learning for downstream decision-making from observational data. Rather than only predicting what is likely to happen, causal methods aim to model how outcomes would change under different actions and which actions are most effective for whom. Within this broader area, I study treatment effect estimation, ranking, and policy learning, with a particular interest in adapting these methods to realistic data settings. This includes learning directly for downstream objectives such as prioritization, working with complex multimodal data, and accounting for limitations in the available data.
Selected outputs
Rank-Learner: Orthogonal Ranking of Treatment Effects
Henri Arno, Dennis Frauen, Emil Javurek, Thomas Demeester, Stefan Feuerriegel (2026)
International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)
paper·codeAnnotation-Assisted Learning of Treatment Policies From Multimodal Electronic Health Records
Henri Arno, Thomas Demeester (2026)
Machine Learning for Healthcare (MLHC)
paper·codeFrom Text to Treatment Effects: A Meta-Learning Approach to Handling Text-Based Confounding
Henri Arno, Paloma Rabaey, Thomas Demeester (2024)
NeurIPS Causal Representation Learning Workshop
paper
Business Failure Prediction and Judicial Decision Support
This research project focused on the development of machine learning systems for the early detection of financially distressed firms in collaboration with Belgian commercial courts. The work combined financial and textual corporate disclosures and examined how AI could support real-world judicial decision-making. My research addressed predictive performance, interpretability, and the added value of textual information, while the broader interdisciplinary project also considered the integration of AI-based decision support into the workflow of the commercial courts.
Selected outputs
Business Failure Prediction From Textual and Tabular Data With Sentence-Level Interpretations
Henri Arno, Klaas Mulier, Joke Baeck, Thomas Demeester (2025)
Annals of Operations Research (ANOR)
paper·codeDeveloping an AI Model for the Detection of Financially Distressed Companies by Belgian Commercial Courts
Joke Baeck, Henri Arno, Stijn Van Ruymbeke, Aruna Audenaert, Tibe Habils, Klaas Mulier, Thomas Demeester (2025)
European Insolvency and Restructuring Journal
paperFrom Numbers to Words: Multi-Modal Bankruptcy Prediction Using the ECL Dataset
Henri Arno, Klaas Mulier, Joke Baeck, Thomas Demeester (2023)
IJCNLP-AACL Workshop on FinTech and Natural Language Processing (FinNLP)
paper·code
